2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.63	-5.8	-0.4	1677	-0.3	30.6	-30.9	1.06	0.7	-1.0	-0.4%	16.1%	-16.5%	.94	-0.8%	7.9	1.1	0.95	12.9	52	26	61
Atlanta Braves	3.54	35.1	3.9	1475	5.6	28.4	-22.8	1.05	6.2	-0.9	3.8%	19.5%	-15.7%	1.20	-0.5%	52.7	5.9	0.91	68.7	45	27	49
Baltimore Orioles	3.80	17.1	1.9	1540	4.9	29.8	-24.9	1.08	4.0	0.6	3.6%	20.1%	-16.4%	1.20	0.6%	39.6	4.5	0.90	39.4	55	33	55
Boston Red Sox	3.52	49.0	5.3	1607	5.0	30.3	-25.3	1.06	5.4	-0.7	2.7%	17.7%	-15.0%	1.04	-0.6%	55.7	5.9	0.91	63.4	51	38	45
Chicago Cubs	4.33	14.9	2.2	1695	3.1	33.3	-30.2	1.12	3.2	-0.4	2.0%	21.8%	-19.8%	1.23	-0.3%	18.3	2.6	0.95	27.1	57	27	54
Chicago White Sox	5.00	-21.2	-1.9	1704	-1.5	29.1	-30.7	1.01	-1.5	-0.1	-0.4%	6.0%	-6.4%	.35	-0.3%	-18.9	-1.6	0.94	-17.6	56	39	56
Cincinnati Reds	4.38	9.1	1.0	1653	-0.1	25.9	-26.0	.94	0.7	-0.9	0.0%	13.8%	-13.8%	.83	-0.5%	12.6	1.4	0.95	12.3	42	33	58
Cleveland Guardians	3.65	24.6	2.8	1678	4.3	31.7	-27.4	1.05	3.5	0.6	3.1%	22.5%	-19.4%	1.24	0.4%	44.1	4.9	0.94	40.6	63	35	63
Colorado Rockies	5.40	-16.5	-1.3	1688	-2.5	26.1	-28.6	.94	-1.6	-1.1	-1.4%	6.7%	-8.2%	.42	-2.7%	-20.4	-1.5	0.95	-10.4	37	26	58
Detroit Tigers	3.93	25.2	2.8	1597	3.1	31.2	-28.1	1.09	4.3	-1.4	1.9%	19.4%	-17.5%	1.13	-0.9%	34.5	3.8	0.93	49.2	59	26	39
Houston Astros	4.98	-34.5	-3.0	1697	-0.3	28.1	-28.4	.97	-1.5	1.2	-0.4%	10.0%	-10.5%	.58	0.1%	-14.5	-0.8	0.98	-14.7	41	35	65
Kansas City Royals	3.48	31.8	3.6	1654	5.2	30.7	-25.5	1.02	4.1	1.0	3.2%	19.6%	-16.3%	1.09	0.5%	46.4	5.2	0.95	46.5	49	33	51
Los Angeles Angels	5.21	-26.4	-2.5	1707	-2.6	24.4	-27.1	.84	-0.6	-2.6	-1.1%	11.0%	-12.0%	.62	-1.3%	-22.9	-2.0	0.94	-4.0	30	26	75
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.45	43.7	4.6	1670	5.3	28.0	-22.7	.93	6.4	-0.6	3.7%	19.6%	-15.9%	1.08	-0.4%	61.9	6.7	0.91	70.4	44	37	58
Miami Marlins	5.68	-37.0	-3.2	1801	-3.7	28.0	-31.7	.96	-1.0	-2.8	-1.2%	6.7%	-7.9%	.39	-2.3%	-37.8	-3.1	0.98	-16.7	44	33	71
Milwaukee Brewers	4.26	6.0	1.0	1650	3.4	28.6	-25.1	.99	1.5	1.9	2.4%	19.8%	-17.4%	1.15	1.2%	17.3	2.3	0.95	11.6	46	34	57
Minnesota Twins	4.22	0.3	0.2	1579	2.3	26.8	-24.6	.97	2.9	-0.5	1.2%	15.1%	-13.9%	.91	-0.4%	17.2	2.1	0.92	31.0	49	32	50
New York Mets	4.29	4.5	0.8	1672	2.3	31.9	-29.6	1.15	2.2	-0.3	1.1%	16.9%	-15.8%	1.02	-0.2%	21.2	2.5	0.99	27.2	61	29	50
New York Yankees	3.47	38.3	4.1	1661	6.2	32.7	-26.5	1.11	3.5	2.1	4.3%	23.0%	-18.7%	1.30	1.2%	51.7	5.6	0.96	37.4	52	28	49
Oakland Athletics	4.77	-18.4	-1.6	1727	1.0	27.3	-26.2	.90	-1.2	2.4	0.0%	12.6%	-12.5%	.70	0.8%	-17.2	-1.4	0.98	-16.4	40	35	59
Philadelphia Phillies	3.60	35.9	4.1	1650	6.4	29.8	-23.4	1.00	5.6	0.7	4.0%	18.8%	-14.8%	1.05	0.4%	48.4	5.6	0.93	62.5	51	23	54
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.35	5.5	0.7	1686	1.9	31.1	-29.2	1.07	1.2	0.5	0.9%	17.8%	-16.8%	1.02	0.2%	15.7	1.8	0.95	19.2	57	29	48
San Diego Padres	4.42	-6.6	-0.3	1730	-0.1	26.9	-27.0	.90	1.6	-1.7	-0.1%	15.6%	-15.7%	.87	-1.1%	8.6	1.2	0.92	19.8	39	37	73
Seattle Mariners	3.63	18.8	2.1	1587	2.7	25.2	-22.6	.90	4.5	-1.6	1.4%	14.8%	-13.4%	.88	-1.1%	35.5	4.0	0.89	47.9	33	26	69
San Francisco Giants	4.86	-30.0	-2.4	1733	1.2	26.8	-25.5	.91	0.3	1.0	0.4%	13.4%	-13.0%	.76	0.4%	-12.3	-0.5	0.96	-3.4	35	36	72
St. Louis Cardinals	4.71	-9.5	-0.7	1618	0.4	28.2	-27.9	1.00	0.6	-0.2	0.1%	13.4%	-13.3%	.80	-0.2%	-1.2	0.1	0.94	7.4	41	42	50
Tampa Bay Rays	4.81	-21.8	-2.0	1714	1.4	30.4	-28.9	1.04	0.7	0.6	0.6%	15.5%	-15.0%	.89	0.2%	-1.5	0.1	0.93	5.6	60	31	46
Texas Rangers	4.52	-9.0	-0.4	1704	2.5	30.3	-27.7	1.02	3.5	-1.0	1.4%	19.0%	-17.6%	1.07	-0.8%	5.7	1.3	0.94	32.4	54	25	50
Toronto Blue Jays	4.78	-22.3	-2.0	1576	1.0	24.6	-23.6	.88	-1.3	2.4	0.5%	13.0%	-12.5%	.77	1.4%	-14.6	-1.1	0.95	-18.1	24	41	69
Washington Nationals	4.24	6.4	1.0	1612	1.2	28.4	-27.2	1.01	1.3	-0.1	0.3%	14.4%	-14.0%	.85	-0.4%	17.3	2.2	0.96	16.0	47	41	62
League Average	4.33	4	1	1658	2	29	-27	1.00	2	-0	1%	16%	-15%	.91	0%	15	2	0	22	47	32	57
	4.33	107.1	20.4	49742	59.3	864.7	-805.4	1.00	59.4	-0.1	37.8%	473.6%	-435.9%	.91	6.0%	451.0	58.7	0.94	647.3	1414	963	1716
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo